Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

264.61 – 44.61

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 516.2 ±9.8

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 86.01Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 42.21Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 136.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.6 ±12.7

3482Arrowbotics

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -4.51Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 21.96Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9038SF UNITY

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 27.16Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 846, 7137, 670

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 846, 7137, 670

Auto

59.5 24%

Teleop

153.3 62%

Endgame

33.6 14%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3482, 1280, 9038

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3482, 1280, 9038

Auto

9.6 29%

Teleop

14.5 44%

Endgame

9.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score264.6pts

Blue projected score44.6pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 220
Score range: 13–297
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 175.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

516.2Season APEX149.6

59.5Auto9.6

153.3Teleop14.5

33.6Endgame9.2

45Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	19
teleop	164	5
endgame	64	5
foul	5	5
total	283	34

Result

Final score

283 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.