Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
93.34 – 120.61
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
44 – 190
Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 38.4Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26Event APEX 3.86Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 51.08Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 18.18Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100Event APEX 38.86Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 63.57Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 701, 5430, 3189
41
/ 100 compatProjected
93.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 701, 5430, 3189
Auto
24.1 35%
Teleop
30.6 45%
Endgame
14.0 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5274, 9111, 9400
51
/ 100 compatProjected
120.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5274, 9111, 9400
Auto
20.1 18%
Teleop
64.3 56%
Endgame
30.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score93.3pts
Blue projected score120.6pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -27.3
- Score range
- 61–153
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
211.5Season APEX337.9
24.1Auto20.1
30.6Teleop64.3
14Endgame30
0Consistency53
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 35 |
| teleop | 18 | 93 |
| endgame | 9 | 47 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 44 | 190 |
Result
Final score
44 – 190
Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.