Qualification · Qualification 49
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
123.23 – 130.04
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
212 – 195
Prediction missed · off by 76.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 283Event APEX 86.58Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 15.84Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 20.81Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327 ±11.7
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 37.58Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 3.52Rank 19Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 88.94Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4698, 9125, 751
44
/ 100 compatProjected
123.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4698, 9125, 751
Auto
7.9 6%
Teleop
72.3 56%
Endgame
48.6 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5728, 4135, 3257
48
/ 100 compatProjected
130 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5728, 4135, 3257
Auto
48.3 39%
Teleop
55.4 44%
Endgame
21.3 17%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score123.2pts
Blue projected score130pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6.8
- Score range
- 92–161
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
413.5Season APEX327
7.9Auto48.3
72.3Teleop55.4
48.6Endgame21.3
44Consistency2
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 56 |
| teleop | 109 | 99 |
| endgame | 73 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 212 | 195 |
Result
Final score
212 – 195
Prediction missed · off by 76.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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