Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

455.99 – 102.08

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

545 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.2 ±10.5

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 407.62Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9038SF UNITY

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 18.73Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 29.64Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±12.4

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 45.04Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 6.65Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 50.39Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1678, 9038, 2204

/ 100 compat

Projected

456 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1678, 9038, 2204

Auto

97.6 21%

Teleop

246.3 54%

Endgame

111.2 24%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2073, 6981, 11274

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2073, 6981, 11274

Auto

23.3 24%

Teleop

46.0 47%

Endgame

28.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score456pts

Blue projected score102.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 353.9
Score range: 71–487
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 170.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.2Season APEX407.4

97.6Auto23.3

246.3Teleop46

111.2Endgame28.4

43Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	10
teleop	290	50
endgame	141	27
foul	15	5
total	545	92

Result

Final score

545 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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