Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.43 – 134.24

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 249.8 ±12.7

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 44.48Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 4.68Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 7.27Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±11.6

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 25.11Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 57.01Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 52.12Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 199, 6619, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 199, 6619, 6884

Auto

14.3 25%

Teleop

20.5 35%

Endgame

23.0 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1280, 3189, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1280, 3189, 7137

Auto

34.7 29%

Teleop

67.0 56%

Endgame

18.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.4pts

Blue projected score134.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.8
Score range: 25–165
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 172.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

249.8Season APEX264.3

14.3Auto34.7

20.5Teleop67

23Endgame18.9

104Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	22
teleop	20	30
endgame	33	18
foul	0	35
total	72	105

Result

Final score

72 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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