Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.51 – 199.86

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

150 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 341.9 ±12.2

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX -4.26Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3482Arrowbotics

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -4.05Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 139.82Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 362.4 ±11

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 83.95Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3598SEStematic Eliminators

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 62.52Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 53.39Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6619, 3482, 670

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6619, 3482, 670

Auto

27.0 23%

Teleop

61.1 52%

Endgame

28.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2135, 3598, 3189

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2135, 3598, 3189

Auto

47.0 24%

Teleop

120.8 62%

Endgame

25.5 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.5pts

Blue projected score199.9pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.4
Score range: 102–230
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 167.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

341.9Season APEX362.4

27Auto47

61.1Teleop120.8

28.9Endgame25.5

127Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	45
teleop	92	114
endgame	6	48
foul	10	15
total	150	222

Result

Final score

150 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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