Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.23 – 482.12

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.7 ±11.6

5274Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 10.45Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1072Harker Robotics

Season APEX 141.9Event APEX 79.68Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2141Spartronics

Season APEX 52Event APEX 1.1Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 681.1 ±9.8

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 375.43Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 45.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 61.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5274, 1072, 2141

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5274, 1072, 2141

Auto

20.6 24%

Teleop

26.3 31%

Endgame

38.4 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1678, 701, 3257

/ 100 compat

Projected

482.1 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1678, 701, 3257

Auto

115.1 25%

Teleop

247.4 53%

Endgame

102.0 22%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.2pts

Blue projected score482.1pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -390.9
Score range: 61–512
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 700 vs event baseline 166.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.7Season APEX681.1

20.6Auto115.1

26.3Teleop247.4

38.4Endgame102

72Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	122
teleop	59	319
endgame	29	133
foul	0	15
total	111	589

Result

Final score

111 – 589

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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