Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.61 – 101.64

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.1 ±12.8

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 82.01Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 55.28Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3482Arrowbotics

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -17.68Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.3 ±12.8

6662FalconX

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 76.99Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10212Circuit Bakers

Season APEX 62.8Event APEX 25.91Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -1.26Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2135, 199, 3482

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2135, 199, 3482

Auto

23.1 18%

Teleop

69.6 55%

Endgame

32.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6662, 10212, 6981

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6662, 10212, 6981

Auto

5.6 6%

Teleop

69.5 69%

Endgame

25.8 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.6pts

Blue projected score101.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18
Score range: 72–150
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 167.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.1Season APEX187.3

23.1Auto5.6

69.6Teleop69.5

32.8Endgame25.8

68Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	14
teleop	101	33
endgame	28	25
foul	5	5
total	157	77

Result

Final score

157 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.