Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.22 – 67.33

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 74.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.9 ±12.2

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 41.42Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 37.3Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 61.5Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.7 ±11.6

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX -19.2Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1857Citrus Sparks

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 73.5Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 13.03Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 751, 1138, 11274

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 751, 1138, 11274

Auto

31.1 30%

Teleop

49.8 48%

Endgame

22.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6619, 1857, 7137

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6619, 1857, 7137

Auto

16.3 29%

Teleop

14.2 25%

Endgame

26.1 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.2pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.9
Score range: 37–170
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 168.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.9Season APEX382.7

31.1Auto16.3

49.8Teleop14.2

22.9Endgame26.1

57Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	10
teleop	50	78
endgame	18	43
foul	0	40
total	94	171

Result

Final score

94 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 74.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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