Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
196.15 – 73.29
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
152 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 536.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 100Event APEX 50.78Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 75.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 315Event APEX 69.77Rank 28Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.6 ±12.8
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 15.47Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72Event APEX 22.82Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 35Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9111, 3598, 2073
65
/ 100 compatProjected
196.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9111, 3598, 2073
Auto
25.3 13%
Teleop
123.2 62%
Endgame
50.2 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5728, 11296, 9400
39
/ 100 compatProjected
73.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5728, 11296, 9400
Auto
15.2 22%
Teleop
39.8 56%
Endgame
15.5 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score196.1pts
Blue projected score73.3pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 122.9
- Score range
- 43–226
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
536.1Season APEX282.6
25.3Auto15.2
123.2Teleop39.8
50.2Endgame15.5
19Consistency76
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 34 |
| teleop | 74 | 69 |
| endgame | 47 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 152 | 145 |
Result
Final score
152 – 145
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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