Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.22 – 123.31

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 140.5 ±13.3

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -0.96Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

751barn2robotics

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 45.68Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5728MC2

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX -0.5Rank 38Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.3 ±10.4

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 16.92Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2135Presentation Invasion

Season APEX 151Event APEX 67.06Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

701RoboVikes

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 39.33Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6981, 751, 5728

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6981, 751, 5728

Auto

4.2 8%

Teleop

27.5 55%

Endgame

18.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9400, 2135, 701

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9400, 2135, 701

Auto

5.5 5%

Teleop

63.7 60%

Endgame

37.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.2pts

Blue projected score123.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.1
Score range: 13–154
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 250 vs event baseline 172.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

140.5Season APEX409.3

4.2Auto5.5

27.5Teleop63.7

18.1Endgame37.5

92Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	48
teleop	30	113
endgame	21	18
foul	0	15
total	56	194

Result

Final score

56 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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