Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.08 – 527.04

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 76.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.5 ±11.7

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 76.93Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5430Pirate Robolution

Season APEX 26Event APEX 29.58Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 9.57Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 609.1 ±10.5

3189Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 74.57Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 59.44Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 393.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4698, 5430, 1280

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4698, 5430, 1280

Auto

33.3 32%

Teleop

45.9 44%

Endgame

25.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3189, 1138, 1678

/ 100 compat

Projected

527 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3189, 1138, 1678

Auto

117.4 23%

Teleop

282.4 56%

Endgame

100.9 20%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.1pts

Blue projected score527pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -411
Score range: 85–558
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 590 vs event baseline 173.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.5Season APEX609.1

33.3Auto117.4

45.9Teleop282.4

25.3Endgame100.9

45Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	101
teleop	80	202
endgame	53	106
foul	10	15
total	166	424

Result

Final score

166 – 424

Prediction correct · off by 76.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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