Qualification · Qualification 21
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
479 – 110.42
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
768 – 89
Prediction correct · off by 155.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 821.4 ±10.7
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 13.68Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 336.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 128.72Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 27.3Rank 23Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 35.13Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26Event APEX 47.99Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 199, 1678, 5940
89
/ 100 compatProjected
479 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 199, 1678, 5940
Auto
94.6 20%
Teleop
279.2 58%
Endgame
103.7 22%
Strengths
- · 1678 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 751, 9038, 5430
47
/ 100 compatProjected
110.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 751, 9038, 5430
Auto
40.5 35%
Teleop
51.9 44%
Endgame
24.7 21%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score479pts
Blue projected score110.4pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 368.6
- Score range
- 80–509
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
821.4Season APEX153.6
94.6Auto40.5
279.2Teleop51.9
103.7Endgame24.7
164Consistency53
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 161 | 17 |
| teleop | 426 | 44 |
| endgame | 181 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 768 | 89 |
Result
Final score
768 – 89
Prediction correct · off by 155.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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