Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.18 – 101.04

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.1 ±11.2

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 34.32Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 107.69Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9111Pyro Mechanics

Season APEX 100Event APEX 15.17Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.3 ±12.7

5458Digital Minds

Season APEX 73Event APEX 67.09Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6619GravitechX

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 4.56Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11274Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 29.39Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2204, 846, 9111

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2204, 846, 9111

Auto

29.8 16%

Teleop

108.5 59%

Endgame

46.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5458, 6619, 11274

/ 100 compat

Projected

101 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5458, 6619, 11274

Auto

27.0 28%

Teleop

46.0 49%

Endgame

21.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.2pts

Blue projected score101pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.1
Score range: 67–191
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 191.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.1Season APEX246.3

29.8Auto27

108.5Teleop46

46.5Endgame21.8

0Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	27
teleop	139	84
endgame	61	36
foul	0	5
total	225	152

Result

Final score

225 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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