Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
5.46 – 80.79
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
45 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX -5.41Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -32.63Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 43.5Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -35.59Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 46.17Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 70.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6884, 6981, 1280
9
/ 100 compatProjected
5.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6884, 6981, 1280
Auto
-3.8 0%
Teleop
13.7 100%
Endgame
-3.7 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3482, 11274, 3598
42
/ 100 compatProjected
80.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3482, 11274, 3598
Auto
11.0 14%
Teleop
53.3 69%
Endgame
12.6 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score5.5pts
Blue projected score80.8pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -75.3
- Score range
- -26–112
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
127.2Season APEX210.8
-3.8Auto11
13.7Teleop53.3
-3.7Endgame12.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 24 |
| teleop | 20 | 51 |
| endgame | 20 | 4 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 45 | 94 |
Result
Final score
45 – 94
Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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