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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

5.4680.79

28%72%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4594

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX -5.41Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -32.63Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 43.5Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 36.9Event APEX -35.59Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 46.17Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 70.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6884, 6981, 1280
9
/ 100 compat
Projected
5.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6884, 6981, 1280
Auto
-3.8 0%
Teleop
13.7 100%
Endgame
-3.7 0%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3482, 11274, 3598
42
/ 100 compat
Projected
80.8 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3482, 11274, 3598
Auto
11.0 14%
Teleop
53.3 69%
Endgame
12.6 16%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.92
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score5.5pts
Blue projected score80.8pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-75.3
Score range
-26112
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 170.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.2Season APEX210.8
-3.8Auto11
13.7Teleop53.3
-3.7Endgame12.6
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto524
teleop2051
endgame204
foul015
total4594

Result

Final score

4594

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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