Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
61.15 – 210.72
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
213 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 124.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 30.86Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX -16.76Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 47.05Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 128.06Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 69.35Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26Event APEX 13.31Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6662, 1280, 846
40
/ 100 compatProjected
61.1 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6662, 1280, 846
Auto
27.4 41%
Teleop
31.1 47%
Endgame
7.7 12%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3598, 9400, 5430
81
/ 100 compatProjected
210.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3598, 9400, 5430
Auto
54.3 26%
Teleop
118.4 57%
Endgame
35.6 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score61.1pts
Blue projected score210.7pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -149.6
- Score range
- 32–240
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
319.6Season APEX310.2
27.4Auto54.3
31.1Teleop118.4
7.7Endgame35.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 19 |
| teleop | 145 | 62 |
| endgame | 18 | 33 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 213 | 114 |
Result
Final score
213 – 114
Prediction missed · off by 124.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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