Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

137.23 – 101.19

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 23 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349.9 ±11.7

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 45.49Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9400BagelBytes

Season APEX 163.1Event APEX 69.81Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9125Mechanical Magicians

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 21.93Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.8 ±12.8

7137Project 212

Season APEX 135.5Event APEX 52.94Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 34.98Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2288Hydra Robotics

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 13.27Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1138, 9400, 9125

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1138, 9400, 9125

Auto

22.9 20%

Teleop

62.7 53%

Endgame

31.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7137, 199, 2288

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7137, 199, 2288

Auto

22.9 24%

Teleop

47.2 50%

Endgame

23.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.2pts

Blue projected score101.2pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36
Score range: 67–171
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 200 vs event baseline 191.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349.9Season APEX286.8

22.9Auto22.9

62.7Teleop47.2

31.8Endgame23.7

53Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	20
teleop	67	23
endgame	33	16
foul	15	0
total	141	59

Result

Final score

141 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 23 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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