Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

648.76 – 283.95

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

530 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 68.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 851.1 ±9.3

2204Rambots

Season APEX 109.9Event APEX 38.49Rank 26Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 386.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 223.8Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.9 ±10.5

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 24.54Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4698Raider Robotics

Season APEX 283Event APEX 114.26Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 145.15Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2204, 1678, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

648.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2204, 1678, 5940

Auto

135.2 21%

Teleop

355.2 56%

Endgame

147.9 23%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6884, 4698, 3257

/ 100 compat

Projected

284 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6884, 4698, 3257

Auto

71.2 26%

Teleop

132.8 49%

Endgame

68.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score648.8pts

Blue projected score284pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 364.8
Score range: 250–683
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 795 vs event baseline 189.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

851.1Season APEX508.9

135.2Auto71.2

355.2Teleop132.8

147.9Endgame68.4

0Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	139	24
teleop	262	103
endgame	109	118
foul	20	20
total	530	265

Result

Final score

530 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 68.9 pts

Match videos

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