Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

44 – 43.63

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

17 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 32.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.5 ±12.8

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 22Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 19.14Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 2.86Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±12.8

5025Pacific Steel

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 28.29Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 6.71Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 8.63Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1148, 6764, 9772

/ 100 compat

Projected

44 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1148, 6764, 9772

Auto

1.7 4%

Teleop

30.6 70%

Endgame

11.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5025, 10147, 2584

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5025, 10147, 2584

Auto

2.2 12%

Teleop

8.2 45%

Endgame

7.9 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44pts

Blue projected score43.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.4
Score range: 29–59
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 98 vs event baseline 83.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.5Season APEX227.4

1.7Auto2.2

30.6Teleop8.2

11.7Endgame7.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	4
teleop	3	45
endgame	1	17
foul	0	15
total	17	81

Result

Final score

17 – 81

Prediction missed · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.