Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.28 – 54.28

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.5 ±11

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 14.57Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 28Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 3.71Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.7 ±14.7

4019Mechanical Paradise

Provisional

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX 28Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 22.57Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 3.71Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7157, 702, 3647

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7157, 702, 3647

Auto

8.3 30%

Teleop

14.0 51%

Endgame

5.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4019, 5817, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4019, 5817, 9452

Auto

7.4 19%

Teleop

22.9 59%

Endgame

8.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.3pts

Blue projected score54.3pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8
Score range: 32–68
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 77.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.5Season APEX336.7

8.3Auto7.4

14Teleop22.9

5.4Endgame8.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	15
teleop	42	70
endgame	16	10
foul	15	50
total	96	145

Result

Final score

96 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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