Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.33 – 134.74

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.6 ±12.8

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 8.25Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 0.4Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 22.68Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.9 ±10.4

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 19.86Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 55.06Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 59.82Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1159, 4711, 2984

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1159, 4711, 2984

Auto

0.6 2%

Teleop

15.4 52%

Endgame

13.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 968, 2710, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 968, 2710, 9452

Auto

24.0 18%

Teleop

75.1 57%

Endgame

33.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.3pts

Blue projected score134.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.4
Score range: 13–153
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.6Season APEX346.9

0.6Auto24

15.4Teleop75.1

13.4Endgame33.6

65Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	29
teleop	28	83
endgame	13	17
foul	5	0
total	68	129

Result

Final score

68 – 129

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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