Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.94 – 86.63

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 558.7 ±9.8

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 84.22Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 55.37Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5805SMbly Required

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 6.35Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.6 ±12.8

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 13.59Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 4.77Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 68.27Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8, 2584, 5805

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8, 2584, 5805

Auto

29.2 23%

Teleop

72.4 56%

Endgame

27.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3020, 3863, 5817

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3020, 3863, 5817

Auto

7.5 10%

Teleop

46.7 63%

Endgame

19.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score145.9pts

Blue projected score86.6pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.3
Score range: 69–164
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 101.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

558.7Season APEX286.6

29.2Auto7.5

72.4Teleop46.7

27.7Endgame19.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	14
teleop	129	66
endgame	21	25
foul	0	5
total	178	110

Result

Final score

178 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.