Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

37.67 – 37.67

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

89 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 54.8 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.4 ±11.7

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4276Surf City Vikings

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX -Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.1 ±12.4

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX -Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1972Searing Engineering

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2429, 6657, 4276

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2429, 6657, 4276

Auto

11.3 30%

Teleop

18.8 50%

Endgame

7.5 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3128, 10166, 1972

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3128, 10166, 1972

Auto

11.3 30%

Teleop

18.8 50%

Endgame

7.5 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.7pts

Blue projected score37.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 24–52
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 75.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.4Season APEX360.1

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	8
teleop	55	9
endgame	22	79
foul	0	0
total	89	96

Result

Final score

89 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 54.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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