Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.78 – 173.65

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 280.1 ±11.7

1972Searing Engineering

Season APEX 32.3Event APEX 12.76Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 13.99Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 36.03Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.8 ±11.7

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 44.17Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 114.96Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 14.52Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1972, 3647, 2485

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1972, 3647, 2485

Auto

10.8 20%

Teleop

35.7 67%

Endgame

7.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 702, 2637, 9772

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 702, 2637, 9772

Auto

32.5 19%

Teleop

102.2 60%

Endgame

35.2 21%

Strengths

· 2637 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.8pts

Blue projected score173.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.9
Score range: 45–192
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 99.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

280.1Season APEX401.8

10.8Auto32.5

35.7Teleop102.2

7Endgame35.2

23Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	32
teleop	50	113
endgame	47	47
foul	20	0
total	125	192

Result

Final score

125 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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