Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.83 – 69.14

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.3 ±11

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 4.77Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 54.38Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -9.32Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.6 ±13.9

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 27.62Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 29.55Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 11.97Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4079, 9452, 6657

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4079, 9452, 6657

Auto

8.6 18%

Teleop

26.6 57%

Endgame

11.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3759, 6515, 7327

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3759, 6515, 7327

Auto

10.2 15%

Teleop

48.8 71%

Endgame

10.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.8pts

Blue projected score69.1pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 32–87
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 98.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.3Season APEX115.6

8.6Auto10.2

26.6Teleop48.8

11.3Endgame10.1

86Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	19
teleop	96	1
endgame	7	0
foul	0	0
total	128	20

Result

Final score

128 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.