Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.79 – 118.27

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±12.8

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 6.72Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 26.17Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 15.9Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322 ±10.4

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 49.49Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 48.76Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 20.02Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6764, 2984, 3020

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6764, 2984, 3020

Auto

13.8 30%

Teleop

26.8 58%

Endgame

6.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7157, 1148, 968

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7157, 1148, 968

Auto

9.8 8%

Teleop

66.0 57%

Endgame

40.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score118.3pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.5
Score range: 31–136
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 98.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.7Season APEX322

13.8Auto9.8

26.8Teleop66

6Endgame40.8

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	16
teleop	16	45
endgame	4	56
foul	0	0
total	39	117

Result

Final score

39 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 5.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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