Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.26 – 172.78

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.3 ±13.3

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 22.42Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 6.4Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

702Bagel Bytes

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 48.44Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.6 ±10.7

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 58.86Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 9.95Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 103.97Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3328, 1159, 702

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3328, 1159, 702

Auto

11.6 20%

Teleop

31.0 53%

Endgame

15.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2429, 9772, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2429, 9772, 3255

Auto

23.1 14%

Teleop

111.4 65%

Endgame

36.5 21%

Strengths

· 3255 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.3pts

Blue projected score172.8pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.5
Score range: 60–190
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 97.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.3Season APEX577.6

11.6Auto23.1

31Teleop111.4

15.6Endgame36.5

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	38
teleop	17	146
endgame	9	56
foul	15	0
total	48	240

Result

Final score

48 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 48.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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