Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.93 – 61.24

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

94 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 38.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.1 ±11

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 32.58Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX -4.34Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

399Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX -1.31Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.6 ±12.2

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX -7.2Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 17.78Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 50.66Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2485, 4079, 399

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2485, 4079, 399

Auto

6.6 18%

Teleop

35.8 96%

Endgame

-5.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6657, 3020, 7157

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6657, 3020, 7157

Auto

15.0 24%

Teleop

22.0 35%

Endgame

26.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.9pts

Blue projected score61.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.3
Score range: 9–79
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 166 vs event baseline 97.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.1Season APEX209.6

6.6Auto15

35.8Teleop22

-5.1Endgame26.4

62Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	26
teleop	16	22
endgame	14	4
foul	50	20
total	94	72

Result

Final score

94 – 72

Prediction missed · off by 38.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.