Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.94 – 70.03

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 11 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.2 ±11.7

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 63.92Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 29.44Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -5.42Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±11.7

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 24.39Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 32.7Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 12.94Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2584, 1138, 10166

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2584, 1138, 10166

Auto

14.3 18%

Teleop

45.6 58%

Endgame

19.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 968, 6515, 3647

/ 100 compat

Projected

70 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 968, 6515, 3647

Auto

10.7 15%

Teleop

38.1 55%

Endgame

20.9 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.9pts

Blue projected score70pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.9
Score range: 52–106
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 97.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.2Season APEX270.2

14.3Auto10.7

45.6Teleop38.1

19.3Endgame20.9

0Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	0
teleop	47	41
endgame	5	32
foul	5	0
total	69	73

Result

Final score

69 – 73

Prediction missed · off by 11 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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