Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.76 – 174.6

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.7 ±12.8

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 0.73Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX -0.72Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 48.75Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447.7 ±11.2

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 128.31Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 41.61Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 4.68Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6764, 3473, 9452

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6764, 3473, 9452

Auto

6.7 16%

Teleop

29.7 69%

Endgame

6.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3128, 2710, 8060

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3128, 2710, 8060

Auto

33.0 19%

Teleop

86.6 49%

Endgame

56.5 32%

Strengths

· 3128 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.8pts

Blue projected score174.6pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125.8
Score range: 32–192
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 96.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

242.7Season APEX447.7

6.7Auto33

29.7Teleop86.6

6.5Endgame56.5

49Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	67
teleop	79	146
endgame	0	67
foul	5	0
total	110	280

Result

Final score

110 – 280

Prediction correct · off by 83.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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