Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.11 – 85.56

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 47.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.5 ±11.7

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 139.05Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 10.66Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 8.4Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.7 ±11.7

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 18.3Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 7.98Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 59.28Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3128, 3863, 6657

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3128, 3863, 6657

Auto

25.3 17%

Teleop

80.3 53%

Endgame

46.0 30%

Strengths

· 3128 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3759, 3647, 1148

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3759, 3647, 1148

Auto

12.2 14%

Teleop

56.1 66%

Endgame

17.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158.1pts

Blue projected score85.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.6
Score range: 68–176
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 97.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.5Season APEX303.7

25.3Auto12.2

80.3Teleop56.1

46Endgame17.2

79Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	17
teleop	20	52
endgame	44	6
foul	0	25
total	77	100

Result

Final score

77 – 100

Prediction missed · off by 47.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.