Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.42 – 180.7

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.5 ±11.7

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 19.26Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 46.97Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 16.19Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 529.9 ±10.7

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 116.71Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 21.88Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 42.11Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10147, 9452, 2984

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10147, 9452, 2984

Auto

9.6 15%

Teleop

42.2 65%

Endgame

12.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2637, 3328, 9084

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2637, 3328, 9084

Auto

31.7 19%

Teleop

94.5 57%

Endgame

38.5 23%

Strengths

· 2637 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.4pts

Blue projected score180.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.3
Score range: 65–198
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 96.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.5Season APEX529.9

9.6Auto31.7

42.2Teleop94.5

12.9Endgame38.5

48Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	33
teleop	48	87
endgame	16	51
foul	0	5
total	76	176

Result

Final score

76 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 5.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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