Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.18 – 117.41

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.2 ±12.8

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 55.91Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 10.82Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX -1.55Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.4 ±11.2

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 25.89Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 14.01Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 77.51Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2710, 3759, 3473

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2710, 3759, 3473

Auto

19.9 35%

Teleop

27.8 48%

Endgame

9.8 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6515, 2984, 8

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6515, 2984, 8

Auto

22.0 19%

Teleop

61.7 54%

Endgame

31.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.2pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.2
Score range: 45–137
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 108.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.2Season APEX475.4

19.9Auto22

27.8Teleop61.7

9.8Endgame31.2

13Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	18
teleop	41	89
endgame	12	45
foul	5	5
total	61	157

Result

Final score

61 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 21.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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