Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

62.58 – 7.18

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

35 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.3 ±12.8

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX -6.65Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9772Titans Robotics

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 28.1Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6515Unimatics

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 41.13Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.8 ±12.8

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX -14Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 19.04Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 2.14Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4079, 9772, 6515

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4079, 9772, 6515

Auto

3.7 5%

Teleop

50.7 69%

Endgame

19.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6764, 968, 4711

/ 100 compat

Projected

7.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6764, 968, 4711

Auto

-0.6 0%

Teleop

-6.2 0%

Endgame

12.1 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.6pts

Blue projected score7.2pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.4
Score range: -10–80
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 69 vs event baseline 96.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.3Season APEX186.8

3.7Auto-0.6

50.7Teleop-6.2

19.5Endgame12.1

35Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	13
teleop	15	10
endgame	10	11
foul	5	0
total	35	34

Result

Final score

35 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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