Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.51 – 155.44

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.4 ±9.8

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 40.04Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 51.54Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2984Vikings Robotics

Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 14.93Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 525 ±9.8

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 7.04Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 65.58Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 82.82Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9084, 1148, 2984

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9084, 1148, 2984

Auto

12.6 11%

Teleop

64.8 57%

Endgame

36.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3647, 2429, 5817

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3647, 2429, 5817

Auto

12.3 8%

Teleop

102.5 67%

Endgame

38.8 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.5pts

Blue projected score155.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.9
Score range: 90–172
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 96.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.4Season APEX525

12.6Auto12.3

64.8Teleop102.5

36.2Endgame38.8

63Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	30
teleop	83	83
endgame	31	30
foul	0	0
total	142	143

Result

Final score

142 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.