Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.26 – 65.58

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 496.6 ±9.8

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 28.52Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5805SMbly Required

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX -7.67Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 99.41Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.9 ±12.8

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 41.26Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 26.1Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -1.78Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9452, 5805, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9452, 5805, 2637

Auto

34.7 32%

Teleop

67.3 61%

Endgame

7.5 7%

Strengths

· 2637 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2485, 3759, 10166

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2485, 3759, 10166

Auto

14.7 23%

Teleop

50.5 79%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.3pts

Blue projected score65.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.7
Score range: 49–137
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 92.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

496.6Season APEX165.9

34.7Auto14.7

67.3Teleop50.5

7.5Endgame-1.1

78Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	17
teleop	157	10
endgame	67	2
foul	0	15
total	253	44

Result

Final score

253 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 77.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.