Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
64.09 – 64.83
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
40 – 23
Prediction missed · off by 33 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 0.65Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 44.64Rank 14Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 18.8Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±12.2
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -0.65Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 0.65Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 64.83Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4711, 6515, 399
47
/ 100 compatProjected
64.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 4711, 6515, 399
Auto
9.7 15%
Teleop
38.2 60%
Endgame
15.6 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1972, 4079, 702
50
/ 100 compatProjected
64.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1972, 4079, 702
Auto
12.8 20%
Teleop
31.9 51%
Endgame
17.9 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score64.1pts
Blue projected score64.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 17%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -0.7
- Score range
- 47–82
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
180.6Season APEX228.4
9.7Auto12.8
38.2Teleop31.9
15.6Endgame17.9
45Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 0 |
| teleop | 31 | 11 |
| endgame | 3 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 40 | 23 |
Result
Final score
40 – 23
Prediction missed · off by 33 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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