Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.98 – 88.86

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

13 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.9 ±13.9

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 17.73Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX 2.78Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 12.47Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±12.2

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 16.35Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 1.17Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 71.34Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7327, 8060, 3020

/ 100 compat

Projected

33 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7327, 8060, 3020

Auto

10.7 27%

Teleop

14.4 36%

Endgame

14.5 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6657, 3473, 2584

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6657, 3473, 2584

Auto

16.3 24%

Teleop

35.4 52%

Endgame

17.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33pts

Blue projected score88.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.9
Score range: 16–106
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 61 vs event baseline 95.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.9Season APEX237.7

10.7Auto16.3

14.4Teleop35.4

14.5Endgame17

44Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	17
teleop	4	14
endgame	1	12
foul	5	5
total	13	48

Result

Final score

13 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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