Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.78 – 82.33

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

312 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 134.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 549.2 ±9.8

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 66.41Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX -12.02Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3128The Aluminum Narwhals

A+

Season APEX 308.7Event APEX 108.39Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.5 ±11.2

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX -6.03Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1138Eagle Engineering

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 14.75Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 73.61Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5817, 968, 3128

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5817, 968, 3128

Auto

32.4 21%

Teleop

89.0 58%

Endgame

31.3 20%

Strengths

· 3128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3328, 1138, 3255

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3328, 1138, 3255

Auto

7.6 11%

Teleop

45.2 64%

Endgame

17.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.8pts

Blue projected score82.3pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.5
Score range: 66–179
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 515 vs event baseline 90.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

549.2Season APEX467.5

32.4Auto7.6

89Teleop45.2

31.3Endgame17.4

21Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	23
teleop	166	129
endgame	130	36
foul	0	15
total	312	203

Result

Final score

312 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 134.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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