Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.95 – 127.37

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

218 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 636.6 ±9.3

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 52.72Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 94.04Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 102.19Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±14.3

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 57.13Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4019Mechanical Paradise

Provisional

Season APEX 23.7Event APEX 22.15Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1148Harvard Westlake Robotics

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 48.09Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2485, 8, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

249 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2485, 8, 2637

Auto

44.8 19%

Teleop

156.3 65%

Endgame

39.7 16%

Strengths

· 2637 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2429, 4019, 1148

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2429, 4019, 1148

Auto

13.0 12%

Teleop

75.0 70%

Endgame

18.7 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249pts

Blue projected score127.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 121.6
Score range: 111–265
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 368 vs event baseline 89.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

636.6Season APEX374.5

44.8Auto13

156.3Teleop75

39.7Endgame18.7

93Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	6
teleop	152	100
endgame	17	44
foul	0	0
total	218	150

Result

Final score

218 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.