Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.42 – 44.05

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.2 ±12.8

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 24.04Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3863Pantherbotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX -7.36Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4160The RoBucs

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 21.74Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.9 ±12.8

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 20.65Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5025Pacific Steel

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 30.92Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -7.52Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7157, 3863, 4160

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7157, 3863, 4160

Auto

6.8 13%

Teleop

21.1 42%

Endgame

22.6 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9452, 5025, 10166

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9452, 5025, 10166

Auto

-1.0 0%

Teleop

20.6 61%

Endgame

14.0 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.4pts

Blue projected score44.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.6
Score range: 22–60
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 89.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246.2Season APEX238.9

6.8Auto-1

21.1Teleop20.6

22.6Endgame14

76Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	21
teleop	35	41
endgame	34	24
foul	0	20
total	70	106

Result

Final score

70 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.