Qualification · Qualification 35
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
32.82 – 67.49
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
93 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 33.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226 ±12.8
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 10.84Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 21.26Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 0.72Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX -0.35Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 54.5Event APEX 6.06Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 152.1Event APEX 61.78Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9772, 7327, 3647
27
/ 100 compatProjected
32.8 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9772, 7327, 3647
Auto
8.6 34%
Teleop
17.4 68%
Endgame
-0.5 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3020, 3473, 5136
45
/ 100 compatProjected
67.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3020, 3473, 5136
Auto
0.3 1%
Teleop
30.2 53%
Endgame
26.8 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score32.8pts
Blue projected score67.5pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34.7
- Score range
- 17–83
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226Season APEX259.4
8.6Auto0.3
17.4Teleop30.2
-0.5Endgame26.8
86Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 15 |
| teleop | 61 | 44 |
| endgame | 25 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 93 | 75 |
Result
Final score
93 – 75
Prediction missed · off by 33.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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