Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 78.3

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 96.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.3 ±12.8

4079Quantum Leap

Season APEX 70.3Event APEX 7.62Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3328NoHoRobo

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX -24.73Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX -13.51Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.3 ±11.2

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 50.2Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3255SuperNURDs

A+

Season APEX 296.9Event APEX 50.29Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8060Command B

Season APEX 38Event APEX -22.19Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4079, 3328, 4711

/ 100 compat

Projected

-30.6 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4079, 3328, 4711

Auto

-12.3 39%

Teleop

-27.9 89%

Endgame

8.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2584, 3255, 8060

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2584, 3255, 8060

Auto

10.4 19%

Teleop

38.4 68%

Endgame

7.3 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-30.6pts

Blue projected score78.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.3
Score range: -16–94
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 88.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.3Season APEX475.3

-12.3Auto10.4

-27.9Teleop38.4

8.9Endgame7.3

107Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	38
teleop	19	138
endgame	31	39
foul	0	0
total	57	215

Result

Final score

57 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 96.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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