Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
43.93 – 85.5
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
119 – 35
Prediction missed · off by 62.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226 ±12.8
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 44.48Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 18.42Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX -18.97Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 80Event APEX 7.3Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 31.83Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 46.37Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1148, 5025, 4276
28
/ 100 compatProjected
43.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1148, 5025, 4276
Auto
-3.8 0%
Teleop
30.5 82%
Endgame
10.5 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3863, 9452, 399
56
/ 100 compatProjected
85.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3863, 9452, 399
Auto
11.8 14%
Teleop
60.3 70%
Endgame
14.2 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score43.9pts
Blue projected score85.5pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 24%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41.6
- Score range
- 29–101
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226Season APEX306.9
-3.8Auto11.8
30.5Teleop60.3
10.5Endgame14.2
62Consistency74
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 8 |
| teleop | 70 | 26 |
| endgame | 22 | 1 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 119 | 35 |
Result
Final score
119 – 35
Prediction missed · off by 62.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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