Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.71 – 169.61

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.6 ±12.8

4160The RoBucs

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 31.91Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 22.05Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 3.75Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.7 ±11.2

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 67.78Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10166Thunder Vikes

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 3.35Rank 34Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2637Phantom Catz

Season APEX 224.8Event APEX 98.48Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4160, 2710, 10147

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4160, 2710, 10147

Auto

1.1 2%

Teleop

35.8 58%

Endgame

24.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5817, 10166, 2637

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5817, 10166, 2637

Auto

27.0 17%

Teleop

98.9 61%

Endgame

35.4 22%

Strengths

· 2637 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.7pts

Blue projected score169.6pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.9
Score range: 43–185
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 84.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.6Season APEX397.7

1.1Auto27

35.8Teleop98.9

24.3Endgame35.4

39Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	34
teleop	20	115
endgame	16	36
foul	0	0
total	58	185

Result

Final score

58 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 7.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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