Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

116.98 – 150.32

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433.1 ±11.2

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 33.53Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX -7.27Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 90.72Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.6 ±9.8

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 60.18Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 63.45Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 26.69Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3759, 968, 8

/ 100 compat

Projected

117 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3759, 968, 8

Auto

21.3 20%

Teleop

76.0 71%

Endgame

9.3 9%

Strengths

· 8 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2429, 2485, 7157

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2429, 2485, 7157

Auto

29.5 20%

Teleop

106.2 71%

Endgame

13.8 9%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117pts

Blue projected score150.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.3
Score range: 102–165
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 82.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433.1Season APEX449.6

21.3Auto29.5

76Teleop106.2

9.3Endgame13.8

73Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	22
teleop	66	99
endgame	38	38
foul	10	0
total	139	159

Result

Final score

139 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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