Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 36.66
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
14 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 10.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 18.42Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32.3Event APEX -4.63Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX -15.32Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 7.15Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 4.8Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.1Event APEX 24.71Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9772, 1972, 4711
0
/ 100 compatProjected
-1.5 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9772, 1972, 4711
Auto
-9.9 54%
Teleop
-27.7 100%
Endgame
19.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2984, 1138, 7327
37
/ 100 compatProjected
36.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2984, 1138, 7327
Auto
6.6 23%
Teleop
17.5 60%
Endgame
5.0 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-1.5pts
Blue projected score36.7pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.7
- Score range
- -15–52
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
154.6Season APEX270.7
-9.9Auto6.6
-27.7Teleop17.5
19.3Endgame5
42Consistency57
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 2 |
| teleop | 5 | 25 |
| endgame | 2 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 14 | 44 |
Result
Final score
14 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 10.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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