Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.39 – 91.59

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

96 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.3 ±9.8

2710JetStream

Season APEX 101Event APEX 35.33Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 23.47Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2485Overclocked

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 80.59Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324 ±11.7

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX -11.28Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 30.44Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 72.43Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2710, 9084, 2485

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2710, 9084, 2485

Auto

14.9 11%

Teleop

95.8 68%

Endgame

29.8 21%

Strengths

· 2485 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1159, 7157, 2584

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1159, 7157, 2584

Auto

19.4 23%

Teleop

57.4 68%

Endgame

8.2 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.4pts

Blue projected score91.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.8
Score range: 77–154
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 172 vs event baseline 83.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.3Season APEX324

14.9Auto19.4

95.8Teleop57.4

29.8Endgame8.2

44Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	13
teleop	55	21
endgame	14	37
foul	0	5
total	96	76

Result

Final score

96 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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