Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.73 – 106.88

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

130 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.3 ±12.2

6657Arborbotics

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 36.14Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5817Uni-Rex

Season APEX 153.8Event APEX 72.91Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 30.68Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.5 ±12.8

5025Pacific Steel

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 37.87Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4160The RoBucs

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 49.41Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

968RAWC (Robotics Alliance Of West Covina)

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 19.6Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6657, 5817, 3759

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6657, 5817, 3759

Auto

13.7 10%

Teleop

93.4 68%

Endgame

31.2 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5025, 4160, 968

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5025, 4160, 968

Auto

11.6 12%

Teleop

63.3 65%

Endgame

22.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.7pts

Blue projected score106.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.8
Score range: 92–155
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 83.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.3Season APEX199.5

13.7Auto11.6

93.4Teleop63.3

31.2Endgame22

71Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	0
teleop	93	23
endgame	21	0
foul	5	0
total	130	23

Result

Final score

130 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree