Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 204.83

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.6 ±12.8

3473Team Sprocket

Season APEX 54.5Event APEX -0.83Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3647Millennium Falcons

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 1.02Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10147ArmBots

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX -23.04Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 694.4 ±9.3

9452LHS Steel Stingers

Season APEX 159.2Event APEX 41.59Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8Paly Robotics

A+

Season APEX 305.7Event APEX 98.37Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2429The Blockheads

Season APEX 229.5Event APEX 64.87Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3473, 3647, 10147

/ 100 compat

Projected

-22.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3473, 3647, 10147

Auto

-1.9 8%

Teleop

-26.2 100%

Endgame

2.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9452, 8, 2429

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9452, 8, 2429

Auto

23.3 13%

Teleop

127.1 71%

Endgame

29.7 16%

Strengths

· 8 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-22.8pts

Blue projected score204.8pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -204.8
Score range: -15–220
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 83.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.6Season APEX694.4

-1.9Auto23.3

-26.2Teleop127.1

2.9Endgame29.7

93Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	31
teleop	7	104
endgame	15	29
foul	5	0
total	30	164

Result

Final score

30 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.